Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 957
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 957 · SAN → SAT
departs 7:41 PM PT · arrives 12:34 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Tue 11/3 41%
Wed 11/4 38%
Thu 11/5 46%
Fri 11/6 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at SAT that day
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.64 in
SAT (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.