WN 994 · BWI → DEN

took off 12:53 PM ET · expected to land 2:16 PM MT (scheduled 12:08 PM ET → 2:16 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

LIVE

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from BWI are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility7.42857 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 994 · BWI → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?