YV 6139 · IAH → OKC

departs 9:29 AM CT · arrives 11:05 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at OKC that day

↑ 9am departures from IAH are often late

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at IAH that day

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

OKC (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 6139 · IAH → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?