9E 5064 · BUF → DTW

departs 12:10 PM ET · arrives 1:23 PM ET

Your aircraft is N183GJ (CRJ9), coming in as 9E 5064 from DTW: landed 11:24 AM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 12pm departures from BUF are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5064 · BUF → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?