9E 5064 · DTW → BUF

departs 10:19 AM ET · arrives 11:49 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DTW is busy at that time

↑ 10am departures from DTW are often late

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5064 · DTW → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?