AA 1049 · TYS → DFW

departs 5:24 AM ET · arrives 6:51 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from TYS are usually not late

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceiling6,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1049 · TYS → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?