Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1520 IN THE AIR (OFF 7:36 AM CT, ETA 11:36 AM ET)
Today

AA 1520 · IAH → PHL

took off 7:36 AM CT · expected to land 11:36 AM ET (scheduled 7:10 AM CT → 11:39 AM ET)
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 1.3d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    85%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.