AA 1577 · CHS → PHL

departs 6:02 AM ET · arrives 7:58 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

CHS (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1577 · CHS → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?