AA 1658 · AUS → DFW

departs 6:01 AM CT · arrives 7:18 AM CT

Your aircraft is N135NN (A321), coming in as AA 2707 from DFW: landed 10:52 PM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from AUS are usually not late

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts34 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1658 · AUS → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?