AA 1795 · MDT → DFW

took off 7:19 AM ET · expected to land 9:02 AM CT (scheduled 7:11 AM ET → 10:01 AM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDT

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MDT (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1795 · MDT → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?