tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1931 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1931 · DFW → PHX

departs 10:42 PM CT · arrives 12:25 AM MT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 67h before departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
60% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 7.0d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    35%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    21%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    18%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.