AA 2064 · MCO → LGA

departs 10:19 AM ET · arrives 12:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2064 · MCO → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?