AA 2134 · FLL → PHL

took off 1:11 PM ET · landed 3:19 PM ET (scheduled 10:58 AM ET → 1:53 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.5 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from FLL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

PHL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2134 · FLL → PHL

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHL?