AA 2226 · DFW → RSW

took off 7:10 AM CT · expected to land 10:19 AM ET (scheduled 7:02 AM CT → 10:49 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RSW?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at RSW that day

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into RSW at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

RSW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2226 · DFW → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?