AA 2256 · ORD → PUJ

took off 8:36 AM CT · landed 2:39 PM AST (scheduled 8:17 AM CT → 3:00 PM AST)

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at PUJ more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PUJ?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PUJ (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2256 · ORD → PUJ

Odds over time

How late did it get to PUJ?