AA 2279 · ORD → SJU

took off 8:42 AM CT · landed 2:52 PM AT (scheduled 8:06 AM CT → 3:01 PM AT)

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SJU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2279 · ORD → SJU

Odds over time

How late did it get to SJU?