AA 2314 · DFW → BWI

took off 12:08 PM CT · landed 3:37 PM ET (scheduled 11:05 AM CT → 3:16 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BWI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility4.16667 mi Precip0.17 in

BWI (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2314 · DFW → BWI

Odds over time

How late did it get to BWI?