AA 2405 · BUF → DFW

departs 7:13 AM ET · arrives 9:55 AM CT

Your aircraft is N121AN (A321), coming in as AA 2401 from DFW: landed 10:48 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2405 · BUF → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?