AA 2418 · ORD → IND

took off 10:54 AM CT · landed 12:28 PM ET (scheduled 9:58 AM CT → 12:18 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to IND?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 9am departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at IND that day

↓ IND usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

IND (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2418 · ORD → IND

Odds over time

How late did it get to IND?