AA 2487 · MCI → DFW

took off 6:52 AM CT · expected to land 8:01 AM CT (scheduled 6:39 AM CT → 8:22 AM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

1% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

LIVE

On time or early
99%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from MCI are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.45 in

DFW (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2487 · MCI → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?