Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2508 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 2

AA 2508 · DFW → DTW

departs 5:25 PM CT · arrives 9:09 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2508 · DFW → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?