tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2522 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2522 · DFW → SFO

departs 9:18 PM CT · arrives 11:23 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
69% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.9d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

  1. On time or early
    26%
  2. 15–30 min late
    17%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    25%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    16%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.