AA 2682 · MSY → DFW

took off 1:36 PM CT · landed 2:48 PM CT (scheduled 12:27 PM CT → 2:14 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DFW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DFW that day

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2682 · MSY → DFW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DFW?