AA 3106 · DFW → LGA

took off 9:45 AM CT · landed 1:57 PM ET (scheduled 9:31 AM CT → 2:13 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LGA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.32 in

LGA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3106 · DFW → LGA

Odds over time

How late did it get to LGA?