AA 3312 · ORD → LAS

left the gate 7:11 AM CT · taxiing (scheduled 6:53 AM CT → 9:07 AM PT)

Your aircraft is N988AL (A321), coming in as AA 294 from SEA: landed 5:03 AM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3312 · ORD → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?