AA 392 · SAT → ORD

took off 7:20 AM CT · landed 9:31 AM CT (scheduled 7:13 AM CT → 10:03 AM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ORD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from SAT are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 392 · SAT → ORD

Odds over time

How late did it get to ORD?