tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 449 IN THE AIR (OFF 7:18 AM ET, ETA 10:17 AM MT)
Today

AA 449 · JFK → PHX

took off 7:18 AM ET · expected to land 10:17 AM MT (scheduled 6:54 AM ET → 10:15 AM MT)
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
26% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 1.2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    74%
  2. 15–30 min late
    25%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.