AA 480 · LAX → ATL

took off 9:50 AM PT · landed 4:26 PM ET (scheduled 9:34 AM PT → 5:06 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ATL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 480 · LAX → ATL

Odds over time

How late did it get to ATL?