AA 546 · MCI → DFW

took off 12:07 PM CT · landed 1:23 PM CT (scheduled 11:55 AM CT → 1:37 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DFW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 32 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.45 in

DFW (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 546 · MCI → DFW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DFW?