AA 873 · ATL → ORD

took off 12:17 PM ET · landed 12:46 PM CT (scheduled 11:00 AM ET → 12:15 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ORD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at ATL that day

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 873 · ATL → ORD

Odds over time

How late did it get to ORD?