Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 935 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 2

AA 935 · ORD → AUS

departs 9:56 PM CT · arrives 12:46 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 60h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 46% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at ORD that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 935 · ORD → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?