AC 789 · YYZ → LAX

departs 2:00 PM EST · arrives 4:31 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YYZ

Weather at each end

YYZ (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 789 · YYZ → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?