AS 1351 · OGG → HNL

departs 2:51 PM HT · arrives 3:41 PM HT

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ 2pm departures from OGG are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

HNL (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1351 · OGG → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?