Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1457 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 2:40 PM PT (53 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

AS 1457 · SMF → SAN

departs 1:32 PM PT · arrives 3:08 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
98% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 1.6d 1d 12h 6h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to SAN?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    22%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.