Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2612 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, November 2 Today

AS 2612 · PDX → SBD

departs 6:41 AM PT · arrives 8:38 AM PT

Your aircraft is N5879K (A333), coming in as AS 2617 from SBD: landed 11:09 PM PT.

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SBD more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from PDX are usually not late

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

SBD (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 2612 · PDX → SBD

Odds over time