AS 508 · KOA → PDX

departs 12:33 PM HT · arrives 7:44 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at KOA that day

↑ Arrivals into PDX at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at PDX that day

Weather at each end

KOA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts3 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 508 · KOA → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?