AS 652 · TUS → PDX

departs 2:00 PM MT · arrives 3:58 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 2pm departures from TUS are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at PDX that day

↓ This flight has been late 11% of the time recently

Weather at each end

TUS (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.11 in

PDX (destination) Gusts3 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 652 · TUS → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?