AS 694 · SJC → LAX

departs 5:19 PM PT · arrives 6:36 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ SJC is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 694 · SJC → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?