AS 720 · SJC → PDX

departs 2:07 PM PT · arrives 3:58 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from SJC are often late

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ This flight has been late 7% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 720 · SJC → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?