AS 75 · ANC → SEA

departs 6:43 AM AKT · arrives 11:20 AM PT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SEA that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ This flight has been late 14% of the time recently

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 75 · ANC → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?