Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3029
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
DL 3029 · ATL → CAE
departs 10:39 PM ET · arrives 11:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Sun 11/1 25%
Mon 11/2
Tue 11/3 14%
Wed 11/4 16%
Thu 11/5 22%
Fri 11/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at CAE more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CAE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at CAE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CAE?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CAE (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.