Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8841
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
DL 8841 · SAT → OKC
departs 6:51 PM CT · arrives 8:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 36 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at OKC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from SAT are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
SAT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
OKC (destination)
Gusts 36 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.