Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8939
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
DL 8939 · OKC → PHX
departs 11:01 PM CT · arrives 12:26 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 36 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at OKC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↓
OKC usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 36 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.30 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 5,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.