Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8947
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2 Tomorrow
DL 8947 · MDW → YWG
departs 2:01 PM CT · arrives 5:10 PM EST
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at YWG more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YWG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at YWG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YWG?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at YWG that day
↑
2pm departures from MDW are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into YWG at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
YWG (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.