F9 1402 · DEN → BNA

departs 10:34 AM MT · arrives 2:13 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 39 kt, cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts39 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precip0.10 in

BNA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1402 · DEN → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?