G4 3234 · AZA → PVU

departs 4:20 PM MT · arrives 5:57 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at PVU more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PVU?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ AZA is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AZA

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AZA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PVU (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,933 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3234 · AZA → PVU

Odds over time

How late will it get to PVU?