Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

STARLUX · FLIGHT JX 25 IN THE AIR (OFF 1:21 AM MT, ETA 6:32 AM CST) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, November 2 Today

JX 25 · PHX → TPE

took off 1:21 AM MT · expected to land 6:32 AM CST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at TPE more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TPE

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling5,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

TPE (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

JX 25 · PHX → TPE

Odds over time