MQ 3344 · ORD → ATW

took off 10:08 AM CT · expected to land 10:37 AM CT (scheduled 9:54 AM CT → 11:06 AM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATW?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9am departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ATW that day

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ ATW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3344 · ORD → ATW

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATW?