MQ 3347 · BOS → BUF

took off 2:16 PM ET · expected to land 3:21 PM ET (scheduled 1:59 PM ET → 3:36 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BUF?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into BUF at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3347 · BOS → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?