MQ 3353 · ORD → BWI

departs 2:42 PM CT · arrives 5:41 PM ET

Your aircraft is N258NN (E170), coming in as MQ 3739 from OMA: landed 1:39 PM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling833 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3353 · ORD → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?